Tulsa’s housing market will
lose 1.1 percent of its value before it starts to recover by the end of
the year, according to an estimate by Economy.com, a division of
Moody’s.
Despite the expected depreciation, the prediction was good enough to
tie Tulsa with Houston for the sixth-best performing home market during
the recession.
The survey, published on Forbes magazine’s online component, indicates
that U.S. home values as a whole will drop 15 percent by the time
things hit bottom late this year or sometime in 2010.
Forbes’ article on the survey singled out Tulsa for having relatively
low home value growth since 2004, moving from an average of $100,000 to
$130,000.
As a result, home prices in Tulsa and other metro areas cited in the
survey don’t have nearly as far to fall compared with housing markets
that skyrocketed during the housing boom, Mark Zandi, chief economist
for Economy.com, said in the Forbes article.
“None … participated in the housing boom,” he said. “Some are down just because the economy is bad.”
Of the 25 areas listed, none showed gains in home values in the near
future and only two — McAllen, Texas, and Syracuse, N.Y. — were
predicted to have no change in prices.
The figures are based on comparisons between home prices during the
second quarter of 2008 and price projections through 2011, and examined
metro areas larger than 500,000 people.